CRE Deal Vision — public scorecard
Our predictions, graded by reality.
Every underwrite finalized on this platform is frozen into an append-only ledger before the outcome is known. When reality arrives, it grades us — hits and misses both, written-off deals scored as misses, nothing curated. Full rules: methodology.
Our scorecard publishes when 10 realized deals exist.
Current count: 3 realized deals. Nothing is published early, nothing is curated.
Those 3 deals have been graded 4 times in total. We count deals, not gradings — re-grading the same deal does not move us closer to publishing.
The predictions are already frozen — every finalized underwrite is snapshotted into an append-only ledger the moment it is finalized, so the grades that appear here cannot be edited after the fact. We would rather show you an honest zero than an impressive cherry-pick.
From 10 to 29 outcomes, every figure will carry a wide 95% confidence interval and a small-sample warning; at 30+ the sample clears the conventional statistical floor.